Technofunda Investing Weekly Wrap - Issue#18


TechnoFunda Investing Newsletter

Weekly Wrap - Issue # 18

23 March 2024

Welcome to the Technofunda Investing community. Thank you for being Life Long Learner...!!!

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πŸ“ˆ Market Kya Lagta Hai

Nifty 50 🟒 +0.33%

Midcap 150 🟒 +1.44%

Smallcap 250 🟒 + 1.72%

Sectors in Focus


Major Corporate Developments This Week

  1. Gensol Engineering gets an EPC order worth Rs 520 cr from a power generation utility in the state of Maharashtra.
  2. Tata Communications: Company to transfer its digital services business to its wholly-owned subsidiary Novamesh for β‚Ή458 crore.
  3. Welspun Corp: bagged Rs. 2,039 crore line pipe orders in India and US.
  4. Sarda Energy & Minerals received an Letter of Intent for a license from the Maharashtra Government for an iron ore block.
  5. Bharat Dynamics at its board meeting held on March 21, has approved interim dividend of Rs. 8.85 per equity share of Rs. 10 each fully paid-up for the financial year 2023-24.
  6. Man Infraconstruction Ltd (MICL) secured project in south Mumbai, expected total sales value above Rs. 2,100 cr, poised to achieve an expected Profit Before Tax of Rs. 400+ crore from this project.
  7. Gensol Engineering secured the largest-ever turnkey EPC order in size and value from a leading power generation utility in the state of Maharashtra. The project involves the development of a 100 MWAC/135 MWp ground-mount solar PV power project across 500 acres in Maharashtra with a total order value of INR 520 Crore.
  8. Gensol Engineering successfully commissions 10.6 MWp single rooftop solar project in Madhya Pradesh.
  9. Jupiter Wagons the company announced acquisition of Bonatrans India for Rs. 271 crores.
  10. HCL Technologies has been recognized with the Amazon Web Services (AWS) Generative AI Competency Partner status for its expertise in building generative AI (GenAI) applications on AWS and delivering transformative outcomes to enterprises.
  11. Deepak Nitrite announced that Deepak Chem Tech Ltd, a wholly owned subsidiary, has commenced manufacturing operations of its state-of-the-art Fluorination Ptant i.e. March 21, 2024 at Dahej, in Gujarat for manufacturing Benzo Triftuoride (BTF).
  12. Amber Enterprises India to acquire 50% stake in Resojet Pvt Ltd - A part of LCGC Resolute Group, Hyderabad, to carry on the business of manufacturing of fully automatic top loading and front-loading washing machine(s) and its components.
  13. NBCC gets project worth Rs. 249 crores in Saudi Arabia from Ministry of external affairs.
  14. Venky's - company started commercial production at Kesurdi unit to manufacture veterinary medicines powders and veterinary medicines liquids to cater to growing demand from poultry industry.
  15. Sarda Energy: Subsidiary JV gets Letter of Intent for license for iron ore block in Maharashtra for area of 1,526 hectare.
  16. Mazagon Dock: Company to lease land & building measuring 14.55 acres from Mumbai Port Authority for β‚Ή354 crores for 29 years.
  17. Prestige Estates: Company acquires 62.5 acres land for Rs 468 crore in NCR for integrated township.
  18. Tata Communications: Company to transfer its digital services business to its wholly-owned subsidiary Novamesh for β‚Ή458 crore.
  19. IREDA: Company to consider borrowing programme up to β‚Ή24,200 crore for FY25 on March 28, 2024.

TechnoFunda Investing Quote from Legends -

Peter Lynch's quote underscores the pivotal role of financial literacy in investment decisions. It implies that a profound understanding of a company's financial healthβ€”through scrutiny of its balance sheet, income statements, and cash flowβ€”is essential to avoid the pitfalls of investing in financially unstable entities. Lynch advocates for the essence of due diligence, suggesting that the most informed investors, who base their decisions on solid financial fundamentals rather than market speculation, are the ones most likely to achieve sustainable success in the volatile world of stock investing.


πŸ“š Book I'm Reading This Week

In The Successful Investor, O'Neil steps up to tell all investors how they can make money and, more important, avoid losses in up markets, down markets, and everything in between. Showing how mistakes made in the recent market collapse were amazingly similar to those made in previous down cycles, O'Neil reveals simple steps investors can follow to avoid costly mistakes.


TechnoFunda 101 - Power Capsules

Learn technical as well as fundamental concept in a simple way

Understanding Dow Theory

Introduction to Dow Theory

Dow Theory is a cornerstone of technical analysis in the investment world, providing a framework to understand market movements through distinct phases. It unravels the cyclical nature of the stock market, offering insights that help investors make informed decisions. Let’s break down the essence of Dow Theory into its three self-repeating phases: Accumulation, Markup, and Distribution.

The Three Phases of Dow Theory

  1. Accumulation Phase: The Birth of Opportunity
    • Occurs after a steep sell-off, when stock prices hit rock bottom.
    • Marked by the entry of "Smart Money" or institutional investors looking for value investments.
    • Represents the bottom of the market, leading to the creation of support levels.
    • Can last several months as stocks are acquired quietly and steadily.
  2. Markup Phase: The Rally Begins
    • Triggered by institutional investment absorbing stocks and improved business sentiment.
    • Characterized by a fast and sharp rally in stock prices.
    • Often leaves the general public out, as the swift rise occurs before widespread participation.
    • Signals growing investment interest and optimism amongst new investors and analysts.
  3. Distribution Phase: Taking Profits
    • Peaks when the market reaches new highs, with widespread public involvement and optimism.
    • Smart investors begin offloading shares to the public, creating resistance levels.
    • Similar in nature to the Accumulation phase but works in reverse, leading to price stabilization before a potential sell-off.
    • Sets the stage for the eventual markdown of prices as smart money exits completely.

The Cycle Repeats

Following the Distribution phase, a sell-off leads to a new Accumulation phase, beginning the cycle anew. This cyclical process underscores the market's rhythmic nature and the importance of recognizing which phase the market is currently in.

Adapting to Market Cycles

  • No two market cycles are identical; they can span years or just a few months.
  • Investors must adapt their strategies based on the current market phase, which requires keen observation and analysis.
  • Understanding these cycles, especially in varying contexts like the bull markets of different years, is crucial for developing a robust view of the market and making strategic investment decisions.

Conclusion

Dow Theory presents a structured way to interpret market trends and phases, enhancing an investor’s ability to navigate through the complexities of stock market investing. By understanding and identifying these phases, investors can better position themselves to capitalize on the opportunities presented by each phase of the market cycle. Whether you're an amateur investor learning the ropes or a seasoned player in the market, Dow Theory offers valuable insights for everyone striving for investment success.


πŸŽ™οΈ My Weekly Podcast For You


Keep Compounding...

Vivek Mashrani, CFA

Founder, TechnoFunda Investing

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